Texas Model Y hits 1000 cars/ week

[flowerlandfilms]

Well he did used to work for Ford.
And men of a certain generation have an unholy devotion to that brand.
My Dad worked for Ford as well and is the same way.
People forget it used to have a magic to it the same way Tesla has today.
They were a real upstart paradigm shifting rogue back in the day, some are still nostalgic for it.

 

[TyPope]

IIRC, the Berlin factory worked 2 shifts to do their ramping. Texas is using a single shift. I wonder if the factory is electrically limited at the time. I mean, they're building that new electrical transfer yard and Megapack storage area. They also haven't connected the solar yet from what I've seen. It seems they are having to wait for the Megapack installation.

I was wondering if part of the line build-out to date has been slowed a bit because they are also building the CT line at the same time.

How many Model Y lines are they going to have and how many are running right now?

How many CT lines will they be running? With only one 9k ton press, how many assembly lines can it support? One line at 90 seconds per vehicle can make just 320 vehicles per shift... a paltry 80,000 for a 50-week year (2 weeks down)

So, a faster cycle time OR multiple presses OR running the press 24 hrs. a day will be needed...
At 24 hours a day, a 90 second cycle time can make at most, 960 per day regardless how long the line runs... This makes 240,000 per year.

So, GM ran the S10 line at 54 seconds... meaning each operation had to take 54 or fewer seconds. Operations that HAD to take longer could have several stations working in parallel but that operation had to put out one part per 54 seconds. I see no reason Tesla can't aspire to produce cars as fast as GM did back in 1998...

So, at a cycle time of 54 seconds AND assuming the press can average one rear casting every 81 seconds AND assuming the 9k ton press ONLY makes the rear casting AND there is an equally fast 6k ton press making front end castings, the following is possible:
1,066 per day (2 shifts)
5,333 per week (2 shifts)
266,666 per year (2 shifts x 50 weeks)

Taking into account loss and a little down time for the press and line, this means a single CT production line, properly supported and running two shifts, will be able to hit that 250,000 per year that Elon mentioned.

And that's just 2 cents from someone who was an industrial engineer back before life headed in another direction. A good direction, but a different one all the same.

Thanks for reading!